Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs N. Osaka

Madison Keys

USA

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.80m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$24.1M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Naomi Osaka

JPN

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.80m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$24.1M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Keys 3 - 1 Osaka

They have played 9 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 6 and Naomi Osaka winning 3. The last match between Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Keys	3
Osaka	1

Last 4 H2H Matches:

(SF) U.S. Open - New York(09-06-18)

Stats

Naomi Osaka

Madison Keys

(R3) French Open - Paris(06-01-18)

Stats

Madison Keys

Naomi Osaka

(R3) BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-13-17)

Stats

Madison Keys

Naomi Osaka

M. Keys vs N. Osaka H2H Profile

M. Keys	Stats	N. Osaka
$20,819,148	Career Prize Money	$24,149,734
64.47% (421-232)	Career Total W/L	64.46% (341-188)
1	Clay	0
2	Hard	1
14	Titles	8
3	Total H2H Matches	1
74.00% (37-13)	YTD Win/Loss	66.67% (30-15)
2	YTD Titles	0

M. Keys vs N. Osaka Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 41.30% of points on their second serve, while Naomi Osaka has won 42.05%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 49.55% of their opponent's second serve points, while Naomi Osaka has won 51.30%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.97% and 25.26% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 57.48% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Naomi Osaka has saved 42.09% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 74.00% of matches played (W/L 37/13), with Naomi Osaka winning 70.00% (W/L 35/15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15). Naomi Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 233/115), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 24/20).
Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70.00% of matches (W/L 14/6), where as Naomi Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.00% of matches (W/L 13/7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Madison Keys winning 3 times and Naomi Osaka being victorious 1 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 6 and Naomi Osaka winning 3.
The last match between Madison Keys and Naomi Osaka was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:31.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.5 while Naomi Osaka has played against players with an average rank of 94.52.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 75% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Naomi Osaka has won 59% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 36.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Naomi Osaka has converted 36.00% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Keys vs N. Osaka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Keys	Stats	N. Osaka
3	H2H Matches Won	1
6	Sets Won	3
49	Games Won	41
20	Aces (Total)	9
9	Total Double Faults	12
1:28:31	Average Match Time	1:28:31
64% (176/275)	1st Serve %	61% (189/308)
76% (133/176)	1st Serve Win %	65% (122/189)
44% (44/99)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (57/119)
34% (11/32)	Break Pts Won %	50% (9/18)
42% (129/308)	Return Points Win %	36% (98/275)
75% (3/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	25% (1/4)
100% (1/1)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (3/3)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (1/1)
0% (0/3)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/3)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

N. Osaka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Japan Open - Osaka - 13-10-2025
QF Jaqueline CristianJ. Cristian	L	w/o	Stats
R2 Suzan LamensS. Lamens	W	7-6(6) 3-6 6-2	Stats
R1 Wakana SonobeW. Sonobe	W	6-0 6-4	Stats
Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025
R2 Linda NoskovaL. Noskova	L	7-6(2) 6-3	Stats
R1 Leylah Annie FernandezL. Annie	W	4-6 7-5 6-3	Stats

View All

M. Keys vs N. Osaka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Keys	Stats	N. Osaka
64.47% (421/232)	YTD Win/Loss	64.46% (341/188)
62.39% (934/563)	Sets Win/Loss	61.06% (740/472)
54.70% (7680/6361)	Games Win/Loss	54.72% (6143/5084)
64.12% (252/141)	Hard Win/Loss	66.95% (233/115)
64.47% (98/54)	Clay Win/Loss	60.00% (66/44)
53.13% (17/15)	Indoor Hard W/L	66.67% (18/9)
71.05% (54/22)	Grass Win/Loss	54.55% (24/20)
0.42	Aces Per Game	0.43
2887	Aces Total	2348
0.2	Double Faults Per Game	0.18
1397	Total Double Faults	998
1:19:25	Average Match Time	1:9:32
350.38	Average Opponent Rank	372.5
63% (25438/40308)	1st Serve %	56% (15317/27213)
69% (17455/25438)	1st Serve Win %	72% (10996/15317)
48% (7145/14853)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (5753/11895)
44% (2116/4827)	Break Points Won % (Total)	46% (1395/3045)
43% (18047/41504)	Return Points Win %	43% (11585/27178)
70.86% (124/51)	Slam W/L	72.28% (73/28)
56.31% (116/90)	Masters W/L	62.76% (91/54)
44.44% (4/5)	Cups W/L	75.00% (6/2)
66.32% (126/64)	Main Tour W/L	59.29% (83/57)
64.91% (37/20)	Challenger W/L	65.79% (75/39)
87.50% (14/2)	Futures W/L	61.90% (13/8)
65% (417/641)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	65% (338/517)
25% (1/4)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	0% (0/2)
58% (102/177)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	53% (65/122)
53% (104/196)	Deciding Set Win %	64% (104/162)
87% (425/369)	1st Set Won, Won Match	90% (319/287)
13% (425/55)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	10% (319/31)
22% (228/51)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	26% (210/55)