Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs N. Osaka
Madison Keys
USA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
3
Win
4
Played
1
Win
30
Age
28
1.78m
Height
1.80m
7
C. Rank
16
5
Best Rank
1
11
Total Titles
7
2
YTD Titles
0
$20.8M
Career Money
$24.1M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Naomi Osaka
JPN
w
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
w
w
3
Win
4
Played
1
Win
30
Age
28
1.78m
Height
1.80m
7
C. Rank
16
5
Best Rank
1
11
Total Titles
7
2
YTD Titles
0
$20.8M
Career Money
$24.1M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-to-head: Keys 3 - 1 Osaka
They have played 9 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 6 and Naomi Osaka winning 3. The last match between Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Keys | 3 |
| Osaka | 1 |
Last 4 H2H Matches:
(SF) U.S. Open - New York(09-06-18)
Naomi Osaka
6
6
Madison Keys
2
4
(R3) French Open - Paris(06-01-18)
Madison Keys
6
7
Naomi Osaka
1
6
(R3) BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-13-17)
Madison Keys
6
6
Naomi Osaka
1
4
M. Keys vs N. Osaka H2H Profile
M. Keys vs N. Osaka Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 40.91% of points on their second serve, while Naomi Osaka has won 41.30%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 49.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Naomi Osaka has won 49.56%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.81% and 26.48% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 55.90% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Naomi Osaka has saved 40.80% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 71.15% of matches played (W/L 37/15), with Naomi Osaka winning 70.00% (W/L 35/15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Naomi Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 233/115), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 24/20).
- Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8), where as Naomi Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.00% of matches (W/L 13/7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Madison Keys winning 3 times and Naomi Osaka being victorious 1 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 6 and Naomi Osaka winning 3.
- The last match between Madison Keys and Naomi Osaka was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:31.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.12 while Naomi Osaka has played against players with an average rank of 94.9.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Naomi Osaka has won 59% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 38.35% of breakpoint opportunities, and Naomi Osaka has converted 36.65% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
M. Keys vs N. Osaka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 3 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 6 | Sets Won | 3 |
| 49 | Games Won | 41 |
| 20 | Aces (Total) | 9 |
| 9 | Total Double Faults | 12 |
| 1:28:31 | Average Match Time | 1:28:31 |
| 64% (176/275) | 1st Serve % | 61% (189/308) |
| 76% (133/176) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (122/189) |
| 44% (44/99) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (57/119) |
| 34% (11/32) | Break Pts Won % | 50% (9/18) |
| 42% (129/308) | Return Points Win % | 36% (98/275) |
| 75% (3/4) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 25% (1/4) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (3/3) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/3) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/3) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Keys 47%, Osaka 49%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Keys 54%, Osaka 55%.
Break Points Saved %: Keys 58%, Osaka 59%.
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R1  Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R4  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||
N. Osaka Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open - Osaka - 13-10-2025 | ||||
QF  Jaqueline CristianJ. Cristian | L | w/o | ||
R2  Suzan LamensS. Lamens | W | 7-6(6) 3-6 6-2 | ||
R1 Wakana SonobeW. Sonobe | W | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Linda NoskovaL. Noskova | L | 7-6(2) 6-3 | ||
R1  Leylah Annie FernandezL. Annie | W | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
M. Keys vs N. Osaka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64.27% (421/234) | YTD Win/Loss | 64.46% (341/188) |
| 62.25% (935/567) | Sets Win/Loss | 61.06% (740/472) |
| 54.63% (7694/6389) | Games Win/Loss | 54.72% (6143/5084) |
| 64.12% (252/141) | Hard Win/Loss | 66.95% (233/115) |
| 64.47% (98/54) | Clay Win/Loss | 60.00% (66/44) |
| 50.00% (17/17) | Indoor Hard W/L | 66.67% (18/9) |
| 71.05% (54/22) | Grass Win/Loss | 54.55% (24/20) |
| 0.42 | Aces Per Game | 0.43 |
| 2893 | Aces Total | 2348 |
| 0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.18 |
| 1416 | Total Double Faults | 998 |
| 1:19:25 | Average Match Time | 1:9:32 |
| 353.79 | Average Opponent Rank | 378.96 |
| 63% (25508/40424) | 1st Serve % | 56% (15317/27213) |
| 69% (17495/25508) | 1st Serve Win % | 72% (10996/15317) |
| 48% (7162/14899) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (5753/11895) |
| 44% (2121/4838) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 46% (1395/3045) |
| 43% (18091/41631) | Return Points Win % | 43% (11585/27178) |
| 70.86% (124/51) | Slam W/L | 72.28% (73/28) |
| 55.77% (116/92) | Masters W/L | 62.76% (91/54) |
| 44.44% (4/5) | Cups W/L | 75.00% (6/2) |
| 66.32% (126/64) | Main Tour W/L | 59.29% (83/57) |
| 64.91% (37/20) | Challenger W/L | 65.79% (75/39) |
| 87.50% (14/2) | Futures W/L | 61.90% (13/8) |
| 65% (417/643) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 65% (338/517) |
| 25% (1/4) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 58% (102/177) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 53% (65/122) |
| 53% (104/197) | Deciding Set Win % | 64% (104/162) |
| 87% (426/369) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 90% (319/287) |
| 13% (426/56) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 10% (319/31) |
| 22% (229/51) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 26% (210/55) |
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